Solar activity forecast with a dynamo model
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Solar activity forecast with a dynamo model
Although systematic measurements of the Sun’s polar magnetic field exist only from mid-1970s, other proxies can be used to infer the polar field at earlier times. The observational data indicate a strong correlation between the polar field at a sunspot minimum and the strength of the next cycle, although the strength of the cycle is not correlated well with the polar field produced at its end. ...
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Whether or not the upcoming cycle 24 of solar activity will be strong is being hotly debated. The solar cycle is produced by a complex dynamo mechanism. We model the last few solar cycles by "feeding" observational data of the Sun's polar magnetic field into our solar dynamo model. Our results fit the observed sunspot numbers of cycles 21-23 reasonably well and predict that cycle 24 will be abo...
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Context. Observations indicate that the ‘quiet’ solar photosphere outside active regions contains considerable amounts of magnetic energy and magnetic flux, with mixed polarity on small scales. The origin of this flux is unclear. Aims. We test whether local dynamo action of the near-surface convection (granulation) can generate a significant contribution to the observed magnetic flux. Methods. ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society
سال: 2007
ISSN: 0035-8711,1365-2966
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2966.2007.12267.x